HAVASAY - Can’t believe the bookies went up $6 this bloke. He’s ultra-consistent, drawn perfectly in barrier three and comes in nicely at the weights. Last time beat Echo Effect into second place over 1100m here when that horse had a wide run but against that Havasay does meet the runner-up 3kg better! Tango Rain had no luck in the same race finishing 4th but he too meets the winner 2kg worse at the weights for 2.2 lengths. Havasay has gone back to Liam Birchley after the one run under Toby Edmonds and the five-year-old can give the embattled trainer a much-needed win.
SIZZLING ACE - Still a maiden but her time must come soon and I’m tipping this is it. Resumed from a spell when she ran on strongly on a heavy 8 for a close third over 1050m to Pennino then caught the eye running onn strongly for fourth in the Champagne Classic behind Zousain over 1200m a fortnight back. Came from a ‘mile’ off them hitting the line strongly and significantly she’s drawn the inside gate. She’ll get back off them but with even luck in the straight she’ll be hard to hold out at good odds.
PEDRENA - Resumed from a spell in a hot race when back and wide throughout 12th of 17 in the UBET Classic behind Shoals and Secret Agenda. Second-up last preparation won ther 1400m HKJ Club Stakes over 1400m at Group III level during the spring. Is only lightly raced with an impressive strike rate including four wins and three second placings from her seven runs before resuming. Drawn the inside gate and expecting Michael Dee to make use of the gate and settle better than midfield. With clear running in the straight she’ll be hard to hold out.
IMPENDING - Hard not to go with the Doomben 10,000 form when assessing the race here with six runners from the race backing up. English was impressive, but she hasn’t put wins together since getting home in her first two starts early 2015. Le Romain was brave when third in the 10,000 after a wide run and he should get a perfect run from the good gate. However, it’s Impending who I’m going with. He has an outstanding record at Doomben with two wins and his last start strong finishing second and the step up from 1200m to 1350 will be ideal. He’ll be behind Le Romain in the run but I reckon he can dictate from the wider run and anticipating he’ll charge over the top late.
SHEEZDASHING - I love bashing my head against a brick wall and for that reason I’ve got to have another crack at Sheezdashing. I’ve been with her all preparation and while she hasn’t won she’s gone damn close on a few occasions including three second placings from her last three starts and each time she was beaten a half length or less. Last time in the SA Oaks she charged home to go down narrowly to Sopressa and two more strides and she would have won. She's now had six runs this preparation so this will be her last this time around and the step up to 2200m holds no fears.